TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Over29c14,749$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,464.234922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c10,699$7,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,183.444,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over51c6,251$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over49c5,375$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.524147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c4,976$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.1390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over50c2,498$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2519052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under71c2,345$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.1525248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over43c2,150$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c2,104$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.081,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over40c1,999$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ab…6ca3backed Under51c1,259$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over49c1,079$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under62c1,027$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.8755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under50c1,006$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over45c717$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.118433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under50c614.42$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9213052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.242055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c584.29$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.353,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c581.39$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c570.22$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.522552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c532.18$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over38c511.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.028236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over50c316$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1583046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c214$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under52c213.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over47c207.47$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.964344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under51c198.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over39c193.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c166$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over49c163$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1315250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.256731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c145$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under75c143.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4417744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.866443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Over39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.032030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under69c137.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.472646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c136.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over48c129.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.212157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under49c129$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6819155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over39c128.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4621641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c128$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Over38c121.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under50c117$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c101$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9622553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under48c83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8421151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under48c83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8418551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over30c66.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under69c65.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1415051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7619153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over49c57.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.353577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.525743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over38c47.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5919258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over49c46.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.874450%22 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.