La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24f518a71920bde25dd7fcfb35c5c654775ea7b3465240506e38e55d7c48ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 705.62$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 48c | 307.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 277.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 99.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 92.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Yes | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…eefabacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 51c | 58.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 53c | 31.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8902…629cbacked Yes | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…4804backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.