La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442e3e32b3a52c3dcef3bf1416fec70adb836ead5f077d71ce108dcff8f999f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Girona FCof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, Girona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Girona FC | 72c | 4,359$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ac…caedbacked Girona FC | 72c | 3,494$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 2,029$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.18 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.71 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 24c | 1,286$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Girona FC | 77c | 932.54$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…cfe2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 610$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…6bffbacked Girona FC | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5561…984ebacked Girona FC | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…b742backed Girona FC | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Girona FC | 72c | 278.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 185.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 181.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Girona FC | 79c | 124.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 37c | 118.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 29c | 81.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Girona FC | 67c | 73.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Girona FC | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Girona FC | 61c | 26.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Girona FC | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Girona FC | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…2224backed Girona FC | 70c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Girona FC | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Girona FC | 76c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.