La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f6750d3dd069cf22c05ffed5b72476219bc9b4610d8195f3b11423fe070174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 79c | 6,357$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.97 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 2,740$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 25c | 2,554$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,271$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 801.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 14c | 654.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…0601backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 74c | 426.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 24c | 314.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 23c | 275.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 28c | 269.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 74c | 116.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 28c | 76.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 26c | 52.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Under | 74c | 37.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 27c | 37.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 74c | 26.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…2224backed Under | 70c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.