TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9b5…7ba6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST4639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$300.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+106.2%+$212.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.4%+$116.76
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+54%+$54
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+163.5%+$209.23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$74.54
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$234.92
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$99.23
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$139.9
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+55.4%+$110.72
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37.1%+$111.29
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.3%+$42.32
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+212.8%+$212.81
Will Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+550%+$551.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+77.1%+$77.07
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+566.7%+$283.33
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40.6
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+34.5%+$34.48
Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+271.6%+$828.43
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$644
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$166.5
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$190
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.5%+$511.69
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$59.73
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+525%+$525
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$75.93
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will PSV win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.9%+$151.77
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+234.3%+$117.17
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$240
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+169.6%+$339.16
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47%+$47.02
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+80.5%+$161.09
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$84.73
Will Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$248
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+52.7%+$210.62
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150.2%+$300.31
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.