La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2727e82a93f21ce4d193f36a0aa21ec4ae77a6014a1cd046192879731a5f0ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 59c | 21,154$12,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,675.45 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 19,450$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,288.05 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 69c | 6,999$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.56 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 4,600$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 3,635$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 38c | 1,818$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.45 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 76c | 1,341$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 948.54$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 34c | 873$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 696.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 663.06$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.79 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 68c | 662$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 28c | 600.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Over | 26c | 380.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 365.14$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 333.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked Over | 61c | 310.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 41c | 302$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 59c | 188.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 42c | 164.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 122.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Over | 53c | 45.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 24c | 44.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…6092backed Under | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 58c | 32.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…3b64backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.