La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf07d46077e180ca8ad1c38a1392d03c75187e283f9686073177eed3ff81bef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 66c | 21,809$14,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,372.06 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 12,878$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 2,272$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.98 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 34c | 2,227$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 3c | 1,700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 49c | 1,532$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,443$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.12 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 1,330$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 40c | 963.54$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.33 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 41c | 659.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 122.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 9c | 116$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 70c | 47.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 46.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.