TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2c7…bd87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 63 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST5952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$920
Raptors vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$950
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,004.17
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+54.1%+$721.03
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$510
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$564.9
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$439.99
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+118.9%+$868.99
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$525
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+94.2%+$485
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$225
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+189%+$654
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$150
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+94.8%+$729.52
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$200
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$276
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$280
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$278.4
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$316.2
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+80.2%+$267
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,485Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.9%+$1,414.95
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,091Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+55.9%+$2,288.6
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$2,114.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+43.6%+$2,637
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+62.6%+$770
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$240
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$555
Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$260
FC Augsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$750
VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$800
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.5%+$620.1
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$301.6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$297.6
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$285.05
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.3%+$684
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$120
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$527
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37.9%+$275
NEC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Heracles Almelo vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+36.1%+$531
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$307.76
PSV vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$218.4
FC Groningen vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$196
Telstar 1963 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$144.83
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$6,496.92
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$588.5
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,888.1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+58.2%+$586.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55.66
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+55.7%+$930
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$834.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.2%+$1,274.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$131.96
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FedEx say "De Minimis" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$153
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$558
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$427.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.