NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a85ebb27e726d9c835e27edb26530bff11038c324d07d021d25c242b4c06ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,865$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 8,951$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 50c | 6,009$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.33 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 3,651$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.13 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 49c | 2,496$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.92 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 1,828$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.72 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 1,672$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 50c | 1,213$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.37 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 51c | 1,053$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 1,000$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Under | 51c | 901.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 72c | 799.91$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 598$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 33c | 518$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 69c | 330$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 322$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 73c | 265.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 215$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 52c | 168.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 95.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…b7cebacked Under | 51c | 94.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 50c | 61.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…1929backed Under | 50c | 61.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…c75abacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…4240backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 53c | 43.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 50c | 30.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 24.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. KingsKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.