NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2076520b2e1f2056c0379051b8ad6759eba1690abda09ce768358881ecf6dff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $626,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Kings | 53c | 404,129$212,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191,406.31 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rockets | 47c | 145,500$68,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,385 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 47c | 92,783$43,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,787.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Rockets | 50c | 82,066$40,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,970.98 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 48c | 52,415$25,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,366.15 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Rockets | 47c | 25,800$12,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,115.37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 50c | 25,585$12,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,695.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 48c | 20,256$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 51c | 18,138$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.66 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 48c | 17,631$8,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,450.76 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings | 50c | 14,135$7,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.5 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 47c | 9,601$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.65 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 48c | 8,090$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.71 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Kings | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.98 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 51c | 6,546$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Rockets | 47c | 6,500$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.95 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Rockets | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 49c | 5,280$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Kings | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 53c | 4,796$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.69 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 50c | 4,065$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.05 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Kings | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Kings | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Rockets | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Rockets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 49c | 2,658$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 46c | 2,523$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 48c | 2,355$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Kings | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Kings | 50c | 1,759$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.38 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 51c | 1,493$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Kings | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.73 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 49c | 1,342$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Rockets | 60c | 1,263$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.85 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Rockets | 46c | 1,227$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 51c | 1,125$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.96 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Kings | 51c | 1,109$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.51 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 38c | 1,059$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 940$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Kings | 55c | 913.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Rockets | 49c | 841.96$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Rockets | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Rockets | 15c | 742.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 50c | 720.27$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 50c | 683$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Kings | 56c | 563.08$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Kings | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Kings | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Kings | 50c | 493.27$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Rockets | 48c | 482.74$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Rockets | 59c | 466.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 44c | 465.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Rockets | 63c | 445.06$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Kings | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rockets | 44c | 432.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Rockets | 48c | 423$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Rockets | 38c | 421$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Kings | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Kings | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Rockets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings | 50c | 310.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings | 52c | 308.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Rockets | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 50c | 299.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rockets | 29c | 297$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…c75abacked Kings | 50c | 258.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Kings | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Kings | 52c | 241.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…10b0backed Rockets | 57c | 235.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 49c | 234.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Rockets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kings | 57c | 204.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Kings | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Kings | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Rockets | 50c | 199.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Kings | 52c | 196.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 51c | 168.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Kings | 62c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Rockets | 34c | 147.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Kings | 58c | 145.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 47c | 144.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets | 46c | 144.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Rockets | 47c | 142.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 48c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Rockets | 55c | 139.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Rockets | 49c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rockets | 49c | 107.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Rockets | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Kings | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Kings | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. KingsKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.