NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11242c2b5c7b088af2aa7d1e70afafad9da9b4907aa73dc1de6daa64c24641dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 52c | 67,608$35,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,162.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Kings | 48c | 42,413$20,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,105.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Kings | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,849.99 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 52c | 21,789$11,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,372.43 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 51c | 18,937$9,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,658.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Kings | 49c | 16,340$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,333.4 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kings | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 51c | 13,155$6,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,721.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kings | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Kings | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 56c | 6,964$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kings | 49c | 6,535$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 47c | 4,804$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 50c | 4,006$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.31 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kings | 48c | 3,645$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.27 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,153$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.56 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 44c | 2,915$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets | 52c | 2,480$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.6 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Rockets | 54c | 2,367$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.59 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 52c | 2,360$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 52c | 2,111$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 52c | 2,025$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.75 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Kings | 50c | 1,997$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.72 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 45c | 1,709$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Rockets | 52c | 1,504$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Rockets | 51c | 1,263$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Rockets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…44cabacked Kings | 48c | 963$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Rockets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Rockets | 53c | 894.49$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.08 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Rockets | 49c | 832.14$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.39 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…7231backed Rockets | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 48c | 767$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.61 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Kings | 45c | 758.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.17 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Rockets | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.2 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Rockets | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rockets | 52c | 577.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Rockets | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Rockets | 48c | 505.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kings | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Kings | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Kings | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Rockets | 50c | 402$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Rockets | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Kings | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Rockets | 52c | 386.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 52c | 386$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 46c | 356.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 47c | 354.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 33c | 343.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…5b18backed Rockets | 52c | 330$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kings | 46c | 319.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8a…8097backed Rockets | 52c | 317$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…3cf6backed Rockets | 52c | 316$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Rockets | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Rockets | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Rockets | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Rockets | 54c | 299.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 51c | 290.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Rockets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Rockets | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Kings | 50c | 237.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Rockets | 54c | 210.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Rockets | 55c | 204$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Rockets | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Kings | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Rockets | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Rockets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Rockets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Rockets | 51c | 178.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Kings | 49c | 163.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings | 50c | 153.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…55f6backed Rockets | 48c | 140.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Kings | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Kings | 48c | 134.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Rockets | 51c | 131.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…f3dbbacked Kings | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Rockets | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…656dbacked Kings | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…c541backed Rockets | 49c | 110.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Kings | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Kings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Rockets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Rockets | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Rockets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Kings | 50c | 72.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Kings | 50c | 66.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Rockets | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. KingsKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.