TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe098…8ee2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
338
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 207 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$130.64
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.08
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.17
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$131.36
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$81.88
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+77.9%+$155.72
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$196
LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.7%+$349.73
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+48%+$144.08
Spread: Suns (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.9%+$163.81
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$54.3
Showing 25 of 207 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$297.88
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$140.43
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$183.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.3%+$131.8
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$173.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$42.3
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+82.7%+$52.05
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+127.6%+$43.52
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$698.17
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$182.56
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+80.3%+$160.5
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+776.1%+$192.47
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+119%+$47.61
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.6
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+124%+$60.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+93.5%+$97
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+84.8%+$65.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$7.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+83.5%+$91
Sinner vs. Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Fritz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.05
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$283.8
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+170.3%+$141.75
Shelton vs. Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+93.6%+$176.98
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+40.1%+$63
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$119
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+248.1%+$78.4
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.01
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.09
Pan Pacific Open: Wakana Sonobe vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Guangzhou Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$22.1
Erste Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Flavio Cobollibacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.62
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$245
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$228
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$140.63
Spread: Patriots (-10.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$37.6
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$54.99
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$69.67
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$193.98
Penguins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$65.32
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$329.4
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+66.8%+$92.08
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+83.6%+$86.5
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$62.43
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$173.52
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$11.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.