TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Altmaier
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$640,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$881,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Auger-Aliassime70c200,000$139,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,634.257857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Altmaier31c135,005$41,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,236.2210845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Altmaier31c29,694$9,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,205.0522037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Altmaier31c25,000$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7501,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Auger-Aliassime62c17,691$10,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,705.513857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Auger-Aliassime48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Altmaier43c9,385$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.7516644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Altmaier32c9,375$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Altmaier44c8,635$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.422,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Auger-Aliassime48c8,596$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,501.7324841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Altmaier41c8,409$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.997152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Altmaier31c7,908$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Auger-Aliassime67c7,188$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.732864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Auger-Aliassime61c4,500$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Altmaier42c4,124$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Auger-Aliassime68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2802147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x063a…8382backed Auger-Aliassime73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Altmaier31c3,727$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.277147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Altmaier36c3,718$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.477342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Altmaier33c3,267$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.6320653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…9e9fbacked Altmaier5c3,150$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Altmaier35c2,850$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.4817823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Altmaier27c2,415$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.0513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Altmaier55c2,300$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2688052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Altmaier1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Altmaier44c1,937$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.9413959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Auger-Aliassime51c1,924$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.123265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd595…b30bbacked Auger-Aliassime43c1,843$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.311250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Altmaier45c1,613$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.8510252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Auger-Aliassime69c1,574$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.066549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Auger-Aliassime40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Altmaier34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Altmaier52c1,323$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1965242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Altmaier33c1,313$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Altmaier40c1,259$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Auger-Aliassime69c1,202$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.719452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Altmaier39c1,165$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…6b90backed Auger-Aliassime44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472b…d2f4backed Altmaier61c1,018$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Altmaier50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Altmaier61c1,000$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1713253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Auger-Aliassime47c950$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.673050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Auger-Aliassime48c924.32$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.726131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Auger-Aliassime65c910.05$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5236540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Auger-Aliassime49c896$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4582263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Auger-Aliassime47c843.17$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.176250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Auger-Aliassime60c786.17$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9811647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Auger-Aliassime66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.589961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Auger-Aliassime54c735.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.233066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Auger-Aliassime67c731.32$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.342050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Auger-Aliassime48c702.28$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2810036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Altmaier27c679.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.348640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Altmaier30c672.15$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Altmaier48c629.18$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8117950.3%90 W · 89 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Altmaier32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773e…c925backed Auger-Aliassime65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…98e8backed Altmaier36c615$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Auger-Aliassime69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Auger-Aliassime43c500$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28615151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Auger-Aliassime70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Altmaier30c490.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.064930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Auger-Aliassime68c488$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4717867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Altmaier52c479.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Altmaier6c469.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.858248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Altmaier32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Auger-Aliassime42c449.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26232050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Auger-Aliassime37c442.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.972458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Altmaier35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Altmaier5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Altmaier5c407.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Auger-Aliassime49c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20625722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Altmaier32c395$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.42420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Altmaier32c390.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Auger-Aliassime41c390.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2413435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Auger-Aliassime52c386.63$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Altmaier36c384.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.872,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Auger-Aliassime58c384.09$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.092450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x978a…ec9dbacked Altmaier33c379$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Altmaier62c377.29$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.763865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Altmaier55c372$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.012055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Altmaier4c371.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Altmaier67c358.01$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.874628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Auger-Aliassime51c338.73$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7322744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…bab3backed Altmaier8c317.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b6…9c1fbacked Altmaier32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Auger-Aliassime65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…1278backed Altmaier33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Auger-Aliassime66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c8…35c6backed Altmaier33c301$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Auger-Aliassime42c300$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1735362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Altmaier31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9322449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7231…8e0ebacked Altmaier4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Altmaier32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Altmaier31c295$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4514540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b4…4f99backed Altmaier18c294.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Auger-Aliassime69c290.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.168243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb5…44bdbacked Auger-Aliassime70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…d541backed Auger-Aliassime67c267.57$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Altmaier49c266$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.271,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Altmaier33c259.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.796145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.