TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd90f…7b32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.49
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$121.5
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.24
Dallas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$54.6
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$117.6
Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,467.22
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+443.7%+$2,097.33
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$123
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$113
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$193.59
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.68
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.92
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$332.25
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$458.8
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,038.91
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,254Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,441.05
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,099.45
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$519
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.33
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$429
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.2%+$1,435.32
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$215.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+302%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+37.2%+$95.26
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$2,524.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.9%+$1,112
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,233.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$968.07
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$282
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$446.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$710.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13,900.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.