Tennis · resolved market
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0d17ec64c0727ad5b43276318a8a2a4c084f5828f9e2b54ee9f61eb23d2e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Swiatek, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rybakina | 75c | 50,468$37,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,538.07 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Rybakina | 45c | 24,118$10,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,312.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Swiatek | 62c | 20,059$12,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.51 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Swiatek | 55c | 17,705$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.88 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rybakina | 43c | 16,102$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,102.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed Swiatek | 1c | 9,979$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rybakina | 38c | 7,335$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.69 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Swiatek | 22c | 7,279$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rybakina | 37c | 6,884$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.24 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rybakina | 41c | 6,166$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.12 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Swiatek | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Swiatek | 59c | 5,111$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.73 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…7b32backed Swiatek | 60c | 5,084$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rybakina | 42c | 4,715$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Swiatek | 0c | 4,547$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Rybakina | 43c | 3,396$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Swiatek | 51c | 3,040$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…3923backed Swiatek | 56c | 3,019$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Rybakina | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Swiatek | 66c | 2,916$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rybakina | 41c | 2,910$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.93 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Rybakina | 43c | 2,907$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Rybakina | 43c | 2,367$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.16 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rybakina | 43c | 2,365$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.07 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Swiatek | 57c | 2,233$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.77 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…ee59backed Rybakina | 42c | 2,120$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Swiatek | 58c | 2,050$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.53 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Rybakina | 44c | 2,018$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Swiatek | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Swiatek | 2c | 1,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rybakina | 40c | 1,886$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.24 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Rybakina | 33c | 1,790$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.57 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Swiatek | 59c | 1,694$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.36 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Swiatek | 28c | 1,583$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Swiatek | 23c | 1,554$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Swiatek | 75c | 1,541$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.65 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Swiatek | 52c | 1,525$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.62 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Rybakina | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Rybakina | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.74 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Swiatek | 55c | 1,288$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.52 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Swiatek | 59c | 1,277$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rybakina | 49c | 1,222$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Rybakina | 49c | 1,164$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.89 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Rybakina | 40c | 1,147$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Swiatek | 6c | 1,101$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Swiatek | 61c | 1,072$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Swiatek | 59c | 1,063$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Swiatek | 12c | 1,041$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Swiatek | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Swiatek | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Swiatek | 37c | 981$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.47 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Swiatek | 56c | 924.07$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.48 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Swiatek | 43c | 920.82$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Swiatek | 56c | 894.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Swiatek | 60c | 865$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Swiatek | 57c | 849.09$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Rybakina | 42c | 832.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.55 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Swiatek | 55c | 827.1$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Swiatek | 49c | 728$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.85 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Swiatek | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Rybakina | 40c | 696.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Swiatek | 56c | 666.47$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.22 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Swiatek | 59c | 622.14$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.06 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…87ffbacked Rybakina | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Rybakina | 36c | 596.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.1 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Rybakina | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Swiatek | 44c | 591.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…1f3ebacked Swiatek | 70c | 574.08$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Rybakina | 43c | 544.73$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Rybakina | 26c | 525$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Swiatek | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Rybakina | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Rybakina | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rybakina | 41c | 477$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Swiatek | 78c | 473.74$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.52 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…c0eebacked Rybakina | 79c | 430.16$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Rybakina | 35c | 420.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Swiatek | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Swiatek | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…aa2cbacked Swiatek | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Rybakina | 41c | 399.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…ec1bbacked Swiatek | 58c | 387.34$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Rybakina | 46c | 356.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Swiatek | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 44c | 350.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Swiatek | 55c | 348$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…f944backed Swiatek | 57c | 345$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Swiatek | 48c | 339.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Swiatek | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Swiatek | 51c | 319.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Rybakina | 42c | 317.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rybakina | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Rybakina | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Rybakina | 42c | 292.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Swiatek | 57c | 283$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Rybakina | 42c | 257.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Rybakina | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…fef2backed Swiatek | 55c | 247.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Rybakina | 43c | 232.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Swiatek | 42c | 225.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.