TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33a8…2a71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.65
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.1
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.76
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.2%+$50.14
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.13
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.5%+$12.3
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+45%+$39.61
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$49.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.5
Jonathan David: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$178.94
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$63.48
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.2
Croatia to score first vs. Ghana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.17
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.94
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.77
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.97
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.87
United States to score first vs. Türkiye?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$94.61
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.82
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.34
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+174%+$41.77
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.57
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$485.65
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275.42
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.43
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$45.09
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+62.8%+$82.24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$185.19
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150.92
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$176.3
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$37.39
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+90.2%+$207.36
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$40.38
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.85
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$197.12
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$18.13
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.81
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$105.59
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$75.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.8%+$88.83
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+44.3%+$46.51
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$34.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$275.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$49.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$101.72
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$40.76
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$140.11
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid to score first vs. Málaga CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$85.75
Levante UD to score first vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$157.48
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Getafe CF to score first vs. Deportivo Alavés?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$367.6
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$44.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$79.28
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.31
ATX Open: Yue Yuan vs Dalma Galfibacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+129.5%+$130.74
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$101.81
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$122.35
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$27.71
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$73.78
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$78.13
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$483.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: LV (-1.5)backed HOU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.63
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Genoa win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$201.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$38.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.