TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,336 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0686…2763backed Under6c36,059$2,003 inLost-$2,002.96100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under5c2,000$100 inLost-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…64a8backed Under6c1,323$82 inLost-$81.950%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under6c1,000$60 inLost-$6011822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5757…f7ccbacked Under6c916.67$55 inLost-$5530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb309…2f7dbacked Under5c740$37 inLost-$37450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under5c649.47$32 inLost-$32.473915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Under6c600$34 inLost-$34616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83a…e7febacked Under6c543$31 inLost-$30.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9d…cf12backed Under6c500$30 inLost-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under7c457.14$32 inLost-$321330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a8…2a71backed Under6c435.99$26 inLost-$26.161060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x140b…1f4ebacked Under6c325.13$19 inLost-$19.0950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcf…31f7backed Under6c314.5$19 inLost-$18.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under5c273.32$14 inLost-$13.675651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Under6c250$15 inLost-$152040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x247f…73b1backed Under6c219.1$13 inLost-$13.1560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x627d…92f1backed Under6c190.33$11 inLost-$11.4240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…abbabacked Under6c177.83$11 inLost-$10.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.