La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe054c5266814aa423bbfcf245be930078360229319ae57ba92a7feb5ec7a6f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 3,993$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.05 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 2,292$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.93 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 1,093$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.22 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 874.94$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 65c | 832.31$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 620.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 615.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.11 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 528.34$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 64c | 380.03$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 372.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Yes | 65c | 290.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 40c | 276$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 268.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 241.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 239.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 43c | 218.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 200.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…63a5backed Yes | 78c | 171.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 169$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 41c | 139$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 63c | 135.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 132$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 131$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 21c | 119.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 58c | 94.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 63c | 55.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 54.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 64c | 51.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 79c | 48.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…ab4dbacked No | 23c | 48.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 77c | 45.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 41.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 65c | 39.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 61c | 39.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 40c | 33.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 30.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 27.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 61c | 19.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.