TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Villarreal CFof Real Racing Club, Villarreal CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,179 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e39…352cbacked Real Racing Club11c1,000$110 inLost-$11011822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Real Racing Club10c783.27$78 inLost-$78.3312546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Real Racing Club40c623.93$248 inLost-$247.6357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Racing Club19c548$105 inLost-$105.2899933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Villarreal CF80c470.52$376 inWon+$94.123232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Real Racing Club11c424.45$47 inLost-$46.6968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd13…94e5backed Villarreal CF54c279.22$151 inWon+$128.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Villarreal CF54c277.78$150 inWon+$127.781618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Real Racing Club11c121.71$13 inLost-$13.028947.2%42 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Real Racing Club12c91.11$11 inLost-$11.3614525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.