La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45a8e70c86d601eed6348e94bdcfcd54e4aefee3700d5627e2311b7e22cb1cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 30,517$19,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,136.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 59c | 19,804$11,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,684.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 11,326$7,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.58 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 5c | 10,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,914$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 2,901$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.97 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 11c | 1,968$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 38c | 1,798$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +126%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 54c | 1,690$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 1,651$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.09 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 2c | 1,083$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 118 | 22.9%27 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 2c | 664.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 41c | 607$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 512$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 496.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 413.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.57 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 365.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 29c | 362.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 266.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 255.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 226$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 199.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 50c | 196.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 63c | 187.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 179.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 68c | 155.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 37c | 143.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 113$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…ee91backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 39c | 90.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 88.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Under | 60c | 74.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b4…a09dbacked Under | 60c | 62.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 60.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…a65abacked Under | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 37c | 53.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 34c | 46.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Under | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 61c | 43.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 46c | 41.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 39.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Over | 35c | 34.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 38c | 32.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 36c | 31.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 73c | 30.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 35c | 30.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 61c | 28.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 71c | 28.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Under | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed Over | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.