TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40b9…a596backed Under25c1,143$286 inLost-$285.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed Over75c1,099$824 inWon+$274.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c890.1$553 inWon+$337.54,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under57c665.4$379 inLost-$379.284057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c663.53$285 inWon+$378.213,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c405.79$264 inLost-$263.761,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over27c365.63$99 inWon+$266.9123232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under62c299.96$186 inLost-$185.9810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over35c202.65$71 inWon+$131.7268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Under48c112.02$54 inLost-$53.772944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under61c100$61 inLost-$6112159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…e2d0backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…1cb2backed Over75c44.43$33 inWon+$11.11366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under67c40.38$27 inLost-$27.1511254.5%61 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over33c35.83$12 inWon+$23.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under69c30.6$21 inLost-$21.1292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under68c15.02$10 inLost-$10.213452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.