TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c18,094$7,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,514.781,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over59c10,188$6,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.0898833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Under37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c6,922$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.3210943.1%47 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c6,337$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.023,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c6,133$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.844,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over57c4,479$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.9712050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under39c2,336$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8513744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c2,335$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.5956439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under41c1,568$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.885757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over63c1,221$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.816746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c1,207$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under41c1,141$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4654663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c1,115$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.3963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under40c1,006$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c954.93$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.811849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c897.07$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3975051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under41c855.75$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.112061.7%74 W · 46 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over62c807.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.962864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Under41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under39c627.4$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.691040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under45c505$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c486.5$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over57c465.12$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c445$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c445$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.91,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c445$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.91,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under45c435.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.352055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over61c409.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.831250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1647358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked Over58c370.33$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.531080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+186.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c354.15$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.588947.2%42 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under37c329$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7311053.6%59 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299441.5%39 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under40c291.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over62c289.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over60c283.68$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4621831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c275.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2214425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over51c271.59$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.389634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over57c226.19$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.193751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under41c217.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.169151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under37c213.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6327257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under33c210.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under44c208.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.949956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c207.92$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.672,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under37c200.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2310055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under49c200.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8212159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c194.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.91,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over63c160.21$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10c2…b137backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under41c156$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.965158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under43c138.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.153351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c135.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under37c126.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.853063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over56c106.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3509…9e45backed Over63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under37c90.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.344037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2520050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.431,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over59c84.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.628055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over60c84.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.718950.6%45 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c76.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7145250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under37c72.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.733351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under44c55.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.492045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Over58c55.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.511054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…4e03backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Under37c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under41c48.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.066445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Under40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5005…08afbacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c43.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0443439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under41c42.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.483455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under41c41.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.218747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over64c40.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.647365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf22…8c56backed Over64c40.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e3…cc35backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c39.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2159555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over66c39.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4510251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.