La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddd1e52b072dd48f29be2f085bf1e48edf3f0d9e91c8f2c499b4451cb4b2950b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 18,094$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.78 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 10,188$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.08 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Under | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 6,922$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.32 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 6,337$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.02 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 6,133$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.84 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 4,479$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.97 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 39c | 2,336$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.85 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 2,335$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.59 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 41c | 1,568$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.88 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 63c | 1,221$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.81 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 1,207$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 41c | 1,141$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 1,115$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.39 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 40c | 1,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 43c | 954.93$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 897.07$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.39 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 41c | 855.75$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.1 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over | 62c | 807.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Under | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 39c | 627.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 45c | 505$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 45c | 486.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 57c | 465.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 445$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 445$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 445$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 45c | 435.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 61c | 409.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…470dbacked Over | 58c | 370.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 354.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 37c | 329$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 40c | 291.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Over | 62c | 289.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 60c | 283.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 218 | 31.7%69 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 275.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 51c | 271.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 57c | 226.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 41c | 217.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 213.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 33c | 210.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Under | 44c | 208.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 207.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 37c | 200.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 49c | 200.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 194.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Over | 63c | 160.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 138.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 135.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 37c | 126.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 56c | 106.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 37c | 90.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 59c | 84.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 60c | 84.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 76.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 37c | 72.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 44c | 55.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 58c | 55.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…08afbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 44c | 43.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 41c | 42.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 41.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 64c | 40.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 39.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 39.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.