La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa47bc91be24b43f9e8cb622f67b6bb56b8fd1337fa4f6cf131c41363184b6872

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $84,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,174 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under	16c	16,163$2,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,578.61	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	51c	9,099$4,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,661.56	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	44c	8,275$3,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,663.25	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over	22c	7,000$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	16c	3,294$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,778.28	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	60c	3,275$1,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,977.26	571	39.2%224 W · 347 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe45d…230dbacked Under	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,475	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+133.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Over	1c	2,029$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	51c	1,722$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.84	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under	62c	1,578$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.64	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	18c	1,212$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.61	232	32.8%76 W · 156 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	42c	1,158$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.34	402	39.1%157 W · 245 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under	19c	1,045$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.74	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+82.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	78c	970$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.4	644	57%367 W · 277 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9af5…451fbacked Under	65c	875.37$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	2c	806.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	78c	773.17$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.1	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over	43c	655.81$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.34per pick	56cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	45c	588.09$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.04	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	45c	583.4$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.16	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under	21c	541.09$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.76	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Under	79c	524.35$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+48%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under	52c	510.63$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.51	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over	64c	468.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	32c	425$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.9	999	33.4%334 W · 665 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under	75c	395.38$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.13	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	47c	382$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.94	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	40c	364.05$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.17	156	60.9%95 W · 61 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Over	74c	332.51$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	78c	300$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over	75c	266.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under	49c	229$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.79	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	65c	215$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over	9c	176.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over	56c	175.11$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.06	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over	74c	174.65$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.49	140	67.9%95 W · 45 L	+12.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	7c	160.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	103	50.5%52 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under	55c	145.11$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.11	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed Over	46c	140$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	47c	139.98$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.59	444	24.1%107 W · 337 L	-50.1wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	78c	114$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	89	47.2%42 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	35c	110$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	209	45%94 W · 115 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Over	67c	108.7$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.57	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	70c	105.23$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	340	50%170 W · 170 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Under	15c	100$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+300%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over	47c	87.89$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.31	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	79c	80.29$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	454	50%227 W · 227 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	40c	74.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	58.4%52 W · 37 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	78c	69.25$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.23	504	49.8%251 W · 253 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under	31c	64.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.31	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	40c	64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7778…0637backed Over	56c	58.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under	71c	55.16$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	76cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under	52c	54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	58cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over	39c	51.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+89.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	101	21.8%22 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	28c	49$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.04	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	62c	48.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	22c	47.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	440	39.3%173 W · 267 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x746d…81dbbacked Under	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	25c	42.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47df…2183backed Over	53c	41.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf3d…1a59backed Over	66c	38.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…4a14backed Over	57c	34.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Over	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	101	53.5%54 W · 47 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff7…94d5backed Over	77c	33.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c2…8fd9backed Under	78c	32.9$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.24	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under	64c	26.14$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	73c	25.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	77c	23.01$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over	77c	13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5this page
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5Under won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 1.5Over won
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event