La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ecd067465575f52ccdc59127087698695448e178f90ecfe21291269133f6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 7,477$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.82 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 6,242$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 3,446$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Under | 45c | 3,400$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 34c | 1,307$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.27 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 11c | 975.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 57c | 884.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Under | 73c | 574.32$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 44c | 504.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 487.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 62c | 294.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 257.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 55c | 163.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 162.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 72c | 162.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 161.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 45c | 155$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 52c | 134$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 133.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Over | 56c | 116.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 75c | 94.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…1636backed Over | 56c | 84.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…ab4dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 61.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…470dbacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 46c | 43.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 58c | 43.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…6471backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…c9dbbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 25.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4563…9e8ebacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.