TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde05…e2d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$32.47
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$36.46
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$61.96
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+269.5%+$67.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.9
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$12.4
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.47
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$6.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.