Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548759a18a77b2c19603e8b203a2b7e44aaa8c84ae2195dc5698166dab05245c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 2c | 31,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 2,136$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 1,790$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.95 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 1,519$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Under | 78c | 1,479$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -68%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 59c | 937.22$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 51c | 671.3$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 34c | 606.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 58c | 509.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 268.79$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 6c | 247.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 60c | 221.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 47c | 196.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 196.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 38c | 191.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 41c | 172.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 62c | 153.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 76c | 141.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 132.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Under | 55c | 112.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…e2d0backed Under | 27c | 92.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Under | 47c | 67.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…5667backed Over | 64c | 29.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 76c | 23.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Under | 67c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 69c | 21.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5this page
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.