Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a0a3838356c24614d68b46cccafef11a4c5f1e8a6ffbecf241f20432d1c94e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 78c | 3,581$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.61 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,219$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 1,068$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 2c | 745.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 56.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 70c | 55.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 45c | 47.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 72c | 43.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 28c | 43.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.