Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1522a82df43256985ce984cb4095dd08852e710b03c42215d8bda7863b0fc621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Universitatea Clujof FK Dynamo Kyiv, FC Universitatea Cluj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 16c | 3,359$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.49 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 72c | 821.3$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 34c | 653.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 74c | 649.61$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 32c | 562.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 23c | 353.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Universitatea Cluj | 66c | 287.77$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 39c | 240$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…9383backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 23c | 158.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…7688backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 35c | 106.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 70c | 99.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 62c | 98.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 32c | 94.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 12c | 92.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 77c | 78.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 66c | 76.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FC Universitatea Cluj | 66c | 57.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 34c | 46.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 32c | 43.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 40c | 42.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed FC Universitatea Cluj | 60c | 42.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked FC Universitatea Cluj | 68c | 38.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)this page
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.