Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eead335f17d40ba299742eb80fc6945a4875c16be9289c1179c7ca797ae3eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 6,981$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.79 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 6,528$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 50c | 2,694$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 1,671$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.12 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 1,242$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 987.22$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.35 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 51c | 980.01$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.01 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 18c | 799.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 789.4$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 653.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.26 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…8188backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 22c | 390$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 35c | 380.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 319.21$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 275.24$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Under | 50c | 262.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 48c | 198.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 50c | 190.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 138.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 64.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 37c | 51.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…672cbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 51c | 49.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Under | 50c | 41.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 45cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 47c | 39.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 51c | 37.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.