Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee479435a885d542b002b8ae1422edc3cd8693e03de875f2463425ae2e93a8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 7,120$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.46 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,425$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.78 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 1,591$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.69 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,484$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 76c | 1,269$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.02 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 847.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.75 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 34c | 693.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 55c | 672.71$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 324.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 38c | 252.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Over | 47c | 213.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 24c | 171.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 170.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 47c | 150.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 76c | 130.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 123.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Over | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 102.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 93.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 65c | 84.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 71.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 31c | 61.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 25c | 59.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…762dbacked Over | 47c | 59.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 54.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 25c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 52.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 75c | 48.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 28c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…d635backed Over | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 21.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 74c | 18.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked Under | 67c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.