TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x44e6…24f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+698.4%+$4,149.27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.93
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141%+$121.23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$134.56
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$40.97
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.03
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$48.41
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.76
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$142.84
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.57
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$102
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$132.75
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.94
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul 2: Anastasia Gasanova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.79
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejonbacked Sergio Callejon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.49
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kacper Knitter vs Adam Majchrzakbacked Kacper Knitter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$46.66
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$43.09
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$16.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.