South American Leagues · resolved market
Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bdbba7327f8755ea400228fd33fb3031683fa2cbc19bd312ec2c41c8c51f31b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 5,876$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.13 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 49c | 3,090$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.22 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 50c | 2,979$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.96 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,095$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.82 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 52c | 1,473$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.97 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 4c | 833.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 55c | 538$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Over | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 424.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 68c | 411.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 36c | 402.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 362.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.86 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 45c | 299.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.83 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 74c | 278$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 239.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 196.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 32c | 186.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 34c | 151.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 120.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 56c | 118.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 65c | 110.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 37c | 100.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 46c | 97.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 46c | 91.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 81.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 45c | 69.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 35c | 62.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 59.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 29c | 52.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 31c | 48.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 66c | 45.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…941dbacked Over | 60c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 62c | 17.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5this page
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
- Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.