South American Leagues · resolved market
Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a9f99eff067b6b7e8b12c34ea662bfb6e6ee369e4a4cc93666b5e04e87d9fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 3,026$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 20c | 2,307$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.42 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,734$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 688.14$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 29c | 597.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 27c | 521$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 415.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 355.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Over | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 296.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 165.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 161.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 60c | 134.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 130.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 24c | 125.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 24c | 125.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 24c | 125.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 42c | 119.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 115.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 60c | 98.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 25c | 91.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 23c | 85.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 17c | 85.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…39babacked Over | 24c | 79.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 72c | 78.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 64.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Over | 25c | 62.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 25c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…a6edbacked Over | 22c | 60.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Over | 30c | 56.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 25c | 50.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 26c | 47.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 50c | 37.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 40c | 37.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 33.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 60c | 32.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 60c | 31.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 23.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Over | 56c | 20.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5this page
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
- Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.