TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5803…7a85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$853.39
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$545.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.82
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.77
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$87.5
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$895.36
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.46
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$391.72
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.97
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$90.2
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$273.63
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$284.36
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$397.36
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$44.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.47
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.41
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$797.43
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.49
Panama vs. England: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$601.57
Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$629.55
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$433.69
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.46
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dynasty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.66
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$713.49
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,077.23
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$797.43
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)backed FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.8
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.27
Game Handicap: LUA (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)backed FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$137.34
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$153.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.64
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$127.36
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.43
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Twisted Saints Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.45
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$783.44
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$545.61
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$139.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$502.21
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.7
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$58.17
Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Okhdood SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.