TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over41c25,000$10,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,828.2150254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under59c6,800$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00747347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…8012backed Under59c6,175$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under62c3,377$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0806350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over38c2,681$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.585,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Under60c1,558$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9352441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Under59c1,520$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over41c1,464$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.272,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked Under59c1,211$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under61c1,206$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under60c1,071$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.6528755.1%158 W · 129 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Under59c1,040$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4783643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under59c1,016$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3329044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under63c989.68$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.4689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Under59c752.54$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44410137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over37c580$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.431345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca3…b826backed Over45c549.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.716744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under61c537.69$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9914044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Under59c519.38$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.438752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Under60c505.41$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.415538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Under59c505.1$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.016744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2952962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x173f…e44dbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbc4…a430backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick39cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2956740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c442.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0927954.1%151 W · 128 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Under58c399.77$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8721351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x607b…b839backed Under63c387.2$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.94850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c365.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.562,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under23c334.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0136054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c302.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.882,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c226.56$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.452,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under57c225$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2536845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over37c224.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.222647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Under61c222.15$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4110261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.424935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Under65c153.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under50c143.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.072,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over35c131$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1513844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc209…84d0backed Over76c130.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.264463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Over35c123.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.86155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under64c123$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3132139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under61c111.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3137453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under24c103.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7853945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under56c102.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.929447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Over39c101.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8160857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under26c101.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.981,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6157740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6213541.5%56 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.049753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Under63c91.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.345655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over44c79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2426648.5%129 W · 137 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115b…3981backed Over45c78.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.181181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9210350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.734742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.445259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over41c69.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1911149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over42c69.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.051,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Over57c67.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8567651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Under64c63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.455044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under55c60.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.111,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.659044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over47c54.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5370060.1%421 W · 279 L+70.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd02…6bbdbacked Over45c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over41c53.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6628740.8%117 W · 170 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under60c53.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1132857.9%190 W · 138 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over34c53.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9329…d28ebacked Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187d…9b50backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5275048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over39c47.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a19…eb54backed Over45c44.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.499762.9%61 W · 36 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under27c38.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2455…7559backed Over41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.594862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over60c35.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.885,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under59c34.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1476248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over73c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.884768.1%32 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.