CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a7a3bc679017a7326cf70398a4f029b7b53dd63dd842e3f6d03af7c54c6f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked Over | 44c | 2,812$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Over | 46c | 2,473$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…d8bfbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 48c | 1,941$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.26 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f0…296fbacked Over | 48c | 1,393$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Under | 52c | 1,147$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.32 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Over | 20c | 758$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Over | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 43c | 413.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 52c | 255.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Under | 59c | 251.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Under | 53c | 226.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Over | 48c | 182.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Under | 52c | 117.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Over | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed Under | 52c | 58.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…d95bbacked Over | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.