CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d20f754b65caa64fbe55ba2e83288cc907f8d7cd684c3060b32c7b49eba3c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 44c | 509.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.94 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed FUT Esports | 46c | 452.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…642abacked Vitality | 56c | 278.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Vitality | 57c | 270.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed FUT Esports | 43c | 180.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Vitality | 56c | 175.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed FUT Esports | 44c | 104.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed FUT Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…1823backed Vitality | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…93a1backed Vitality | 57c | 27.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.