TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0abb…d188

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT4940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.57
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$298.17
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$175.14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$116.53
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.57
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$98.82
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.91
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.5
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$365.09
Spread: Austria (-2.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.15
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.57
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$391.62
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$72.97
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$184.18
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$251.12
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.4
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$76.19
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$76.86
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.18
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.85
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$121.57
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+45%+$49.21
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$62.41
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$220
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$227.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.67
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$53
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gastonbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$79.26
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+247%+$120.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$43.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.