TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under50c15,732$7,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,818.8588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a9…0c18backed Over50c8,012$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over50c2,410$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6436240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d2…546ebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under51c1,775$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.141,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under51c988.78$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2814950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3911551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5020…36fcbacked Over51c824.51$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.014961.2%30 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.245345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under51c223.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0289248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abb…d188backed Under45c220.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Over49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.118148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.61,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c199.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.272,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0810942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over51c190.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.557044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115b…3981backed Over49c181.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.971181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over57c133.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9821856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c131.49$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.023,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over57c126$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.37755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under51c119.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.237453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over49c116$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.642352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1722460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0417456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Over51c101.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b10…89b6backed Over49c99.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.844161%25 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over51c98.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8819443.3%84 W · 110 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0412157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under35c92.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.653,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Over57c88.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1721053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66a…ca12backed Over54c81.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.653650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85d…0f24backed Over50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c61.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.382,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1186…ed95backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0584…75eabacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7830236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under49c60.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3028042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.827361.6%45 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over51c56.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.867342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over55c55.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8313541.5%56 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7250251%256 W · 246 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Under42c51.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7219849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3337…780bbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over73c50.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4feb…6239backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258552.9%45 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under51c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4912343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Under49c49.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.246346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.027350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f68…189fbacked Under50c46.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over72c45.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8226853.7%144 W · 124 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9931…d95bbacked Under45c43.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.679056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd559…281fbacked Over68c41.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.184060%24 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24b…5142backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2455…7559backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8213350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8238452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8217864.6%115 W · 63 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over71c40.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8314042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x052f…5ef8backed Under50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over50c40.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.049447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828755.1%158 W · 129 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9e…4bf4backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b10…523bbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd151…6431backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206f…631bbacked Over50c39.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over55c38.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1330158.8%177 W · 124 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under41c38.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6136054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over72c35.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8637149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over51c33.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4433156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd994…4ef1backed Over48c31.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…d338backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over59c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8959044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe027…6cbbbacked Over76c26.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.152466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over51c25.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.657258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under55c23.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138360.2%50 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f90…fc55backed Under51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738e…9c31backed Over49c22.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bac…fae6backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112777.8%21 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c21.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.833650%168 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.