CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12b0570b5acb16cccda1cfc6d7067ab8958b9d8c960b7a166f53ca07d9c950f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 1,010$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.01 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 64c | 781.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 36c | 669.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.96 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 | 18c | 345.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 37c | 234.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 35c | 154.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…e75dbacked G2 | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked FUT Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed FUT Esports | 44c | 43.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed G2 | 54c | 39.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed G2 | 64c | 37.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed G2 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked G2 | 65c | 30.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked G2 | 59c | 29.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked G2 | 65c | 27.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed G2 | 63c | 16.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3G2 won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.