CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e56d27399d0b64ae31721e7ce21337307d09c1b93dc42b80ad35c5feab89b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of FUT Esports, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 73c | 2,992$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed FUT Esports | 26c | 1,264$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed FUT Esports | 37c | 1,250$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.42 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 | 65c | 1,164$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 26c | 1,110$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed G2 | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed FUT Esports | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 27c | 462.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed G2 | 63c | 444.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 71c | 399.53$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed FUT Esports | 27c | 367.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 27c | 366.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…1b33backed FUT Esports | 18c | 310.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed FUT Esports | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed G2 | 73c | 288.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed G2 | 78c | 257.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed FUT Esports | 30c | 230.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked FUT Esports | 22c | 224.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked G2 | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed FUT Esports | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed FUT Esports | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed FUT Esports | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed G2 | 74c | 178.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked G2 | 68c | 153.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed FUT Esports | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 73c | 117.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed FUT Esports | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…84d0backed G2 | 73c | 78.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed G2 | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed FUT Esports | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed G2 | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…661cbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed G2 | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed FUT Esports | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed FUT Esports | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FUT Esports | 27c | 50.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed G2 | 73c | 47.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed G2 | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked G2 | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed FUT Esports | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed FUT Esports | 37c | 30.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed G2 | 75c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed G2 | 74c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked G2 | 73c | 22.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed G2 | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed G2 | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed G2 | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed G2 | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…30febacked G2 | 65c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed G2 | 74c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3G2 won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.