TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x285a…0126

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.9
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$30.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.95
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)backed Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.46
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.68
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winnerbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.25
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)backed Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+45%+$43.62
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$39.9
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.74
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+128.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+125.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$48.89
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+289.9%+$162.4
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$91.43
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$30.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$30.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$81.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.