TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OLDBOYS-of OLDBOYS-, Donstu Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e3c…d370backed OLDBOYS-63c6,775$4,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.612347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked OLDBOYS-75c5,255$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.4334559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked OLDBOYS-55c2,800$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.335,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Donstu Esports1c2,543$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports43c2,359$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.215,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports31c2,306$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked OLDBOYS-72c1,625$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.531,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Donstu Esports28c1,441$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Donstu Esports31c1,367$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5443951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Donstu Esports36c1,298$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.171,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Donstu Esports33c1,250$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed OLDBOYS-59c1,222$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0124551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Donstu Esports12c1,165$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4216051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Donstu Esports11c1,163$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.77424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed OLDBOYS-68c1,027$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1721953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Donstu Esports37c1,008$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.1511435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Donstu Esports44c891.51$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0819351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Donstu Esports46c878.71$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.696350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Donstu Esports25c856.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.241,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Donstu Esports22c824.44$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.65,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Donstu Esports38c818.73$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.682,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1699…5d32backed OLDBOYS-49c795$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Donstu Esports9c753.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.022,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed OLDBOYS-68c751.47$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4724746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed OLDBOYS-64c699.98$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9930155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Donstu Esports37c698.85$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Donstu Esports39c616.4$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed OLDBOYS-56c607.56$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.932,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Donstu Esports9c601.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5728943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed OLDBOYS-78c500.59$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.162,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Donstu Esports3c499.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked OLDBOYS-71c475.41$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.042,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Donstu Esports48c469.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.322044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Donstu Esports42c468.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Donstu Esports41c460.85$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.952133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Donstu Esports30c459.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6612846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Donstu Esports45c450$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.021,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Donstu Esports30c431.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.681,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Donstu Esports46c377.7$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.555257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed OLDBOYS-55c364.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.862,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Donstu Esports15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4191648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports22c346.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.134,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed OLDBOYS-56c341.71$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9750051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Donstu Esports17c326.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3214037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Donstu Esports44c325.56$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.332844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Donstu Esports34c323$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8238844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Donstu Esports12c316$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3645238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Donstu Esports16c311.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.836645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports20c301$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.773,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Donstu Esports49c299.97$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Donstu Esports28c282.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.940542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Donstu Esports8c264.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.791,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked OLDBOYS-74c258.19$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9730450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Donstu Esports20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Donstu Esports46c229.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7757641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Donstu Esports43c223.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.619543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Donstu Esports30c213$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.912948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed OLDBOYS-53c210.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed OLDBOYS-77c210$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.342757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed OLDBOYS-72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.835153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…e875backed OLDBOYS-69c203.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.971353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked OLDBOYS-73c202.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.861,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Donstu Esports8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked OLDBOYS-71c199.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.053,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked OLDBOYS-76c196.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4244675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Donstu Esports46c183.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.964744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Donstu Esports35c181.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3240857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed OLDBOYS-55c180.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.734750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Donstu Esports21c173.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0362738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Donstu Esports44c169.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.711,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed OLDBOYS-53c166.78$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.732,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked OLDBOYS-60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked OLDBOYS-60c157.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0911460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Donstu Esports33c151.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8713350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports25c149.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.511,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Donstu Esports27c149.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.962,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed OLDBOYS-68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0615958.5%93 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Donstu Esports34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Donstu Esports41c146.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Donstu Esports22c143.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Donstu Esports44c143.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0540639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bf…db0abacked Donstu Esports14c139.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed Donstu Esports41c139.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed OLDBOYS-70c138.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0130247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Donstu Esports49c135.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6654543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab20…cf93backed OLDBOYS-75c132.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.754768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Donstu Esports30c130.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.954738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Donstu Esports44c120.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2127549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed OLDBOYS-57c118$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.328455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed OLDBOYS-62c115.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.830951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Donstu Esports47c112.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Donstu Esports48c111.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3934140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Donstu Esports41c103$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2421351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Donstu Esports41c101.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.776040%24 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Donstu Esports45c100.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.668248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Donstu Esports36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed OLDBOYS-56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4426650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked OLDBOYS-63c98.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.741,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Donstu Esports44c90.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked OLDBOYS-51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.