CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x216b44171df74c817bd0f110b1ca99178fde5357ff9cdc417fa041375d6d65b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OLDBOYS-of OLDBOYS-, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Donstu Esports | 1c | 3,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked OLDBOYS- | 61c | 1,850$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.99 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Donstu Esports | 1c | 1,479$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Donstu Esports | 41c | 734.78$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 689.15$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Donstu Esports | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Donstu Esports | 37c | 332.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 294.7$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OLDBOYS- | 63c | 294.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Donstu Esports | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 182.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Donstu Esports | 15c | 179.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed OLDBOYS- | 63c | 171.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OLDBOYS- | 58c | 91.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OLDBOYS- | 52c | 83.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked OLDBOYS- | 63c | 78.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OLDBOYS- | 53c | 74.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked OLDBOYS- | 55c | 71.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 61.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Donstu Esports | 19c | 58.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed OLDBOYS- | 53c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 51.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked OLDBOYS- | 59c | 50.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed OLDBOYS- | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 30.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked OLDBOYS- | 62c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OLDBOYS- | 71c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5)OLDBOYS- won
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)Donstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.