CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20067767b06887c4b4be8d65ba430856326d87b057f95feb1b5054674a966d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof OLDBOYS PL, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 1,216$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.13 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 394.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OLDBOYS PL | 30c | 52.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 47.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 35.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…4193backed OLDBOYS PL | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +1,215.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5)OLDBOYS- won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.