TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64a3…e875

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.84
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.85
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.76
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.41
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$125.32
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.72
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.93
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$68.4
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$32.99
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.64
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.37
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$284.66
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.07
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.61
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.76
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.87
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$112.75
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.01
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.05
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.3
Counter-Strike: Prestige Academy vs Västerås (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked Västerås · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$23.42
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.37
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.8
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62.97
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.75
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.06
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.91
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$23.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-78.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.78
Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moellerbacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubkabacked Viktoria Morvayova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huangbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.65
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$231.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$105.07
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.95
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.86
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$143.17
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.35
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.43
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.