CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd95e695d547934419bb1cbb9f050291c7ac677bf3c5b494dd28da76d01576a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Ursa | 60c | 15,869$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.9 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HEROIC Academy | 1c | 8,813$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…c455backed HEROIC Academy | 59c | 4,047$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ursa | 41c | 3,615$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.52 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HEROIC Academy | 44c | 3,417$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.26 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HEROIC Academy | 32c | 2,840$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.35 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HEROIC Academy | 47c | 2,497$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.26 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Ursa | 70c | 2,266$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.88 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.43 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Ursa | 67c | 1,871$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.82 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked HEROIC Academy | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa | 67c | 1,749$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.05 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HEROIC Academy | 57c | 1,726$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.44 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked HEROIC Academy | 32c | 1,441$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.53 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ursa | 71c | 1,276$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.93 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed HEROIC Academy | 39c | 1,255$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.56 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa | 72c | 1,215$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 1,206$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed HEROIC Academy | 3c | 1,204$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed HEROIC Academy | 28c | 1,197$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…c792backed HEROIC Academy | 59c | 1,181$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed HEROIC Academy | 1c | 1,112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked HEROIC Academy | 59c | 1,066$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.6 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 1,015$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ursa | 64c | 1,000$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked HEROIC Academy | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HEROIC Academy | 45c | 973.92$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 72c | 927.16$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HEROIC Academy | 30c | 911.34$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 908.72$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HEROIC Academy | 14c | 830.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 805.56$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Ursa | 46c | 754.79$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.14 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed HEROIC Academy | 38c | 752.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.66 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 51c | 732.27$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 685.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Ursa | 65c | 643.71$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 71c | 621.59$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed HEROIC Academy | 42c | 618$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked HEROIC Academy | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed HEROIC Academy | 12c | 584$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 583.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked HEROIC Academy | 51c | 583.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Ursa | 66c | 563.76$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed HEROIC Academy | 27c | 554.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed HEROIC Academy | 51c | 540.86$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 539.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 539.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed HEROIC Academy | 4c | 512.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HEROIC Academy | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 69c | 481.87$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Ursa | 42c | 478.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Ursa | 65c | 471.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed HEROIC Academy | 28c | 460$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…8862backed Ursa | 55c | 454.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HEROIC Academy | 27c | 442.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ursa | 70c | 437.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Ursa | 64c | 417.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked HEROIC Academy | 28c | 414.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Ursa | 74c | 404.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed HEROIC Academy | 58c | 393.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 390.18$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…49c0backed Ursa | 73c | 384.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HEROIC Academy | 45c | 374.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 371.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…b692backed Ursa | 67c | 369.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed HEROIC Academy | 15c | 366.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 364.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Ursa | 75c | 356.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 342.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…52c6backed Ursa | 74c | 341.89$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed HEROIC Academy | 28c | 330.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ursa | 52c | 311.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…13e7backed Ursa | 66c | 304.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Ursa | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 300.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 71c | 300.06$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Ursa | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…84eabacked HEROIC Academy | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed HEROIC Academy | 38c | 293.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked HEROIC Academy | 37c | 276.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked HEROIC Academy | 33c | 276.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HEROIC Academy | 28c | 269.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked HEROIC Academy | 19c | 259.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed HEROIC Academy | 39c | 258.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed HEROIC Academy | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…ab91backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Ursa | 34c | 246.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 244.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HEROIC Academy | 39c | 235.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…bad3backed Ursa | 47c | 235.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed Ursa | 24c | 234.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 225.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Ursa | 55c | 225$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Ursa | 67c | 222$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Ursa | 27c | 220.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Ursa | 73c | 219.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)HEROIC Academy won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)HEROIC Academy won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)Ursa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)HEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.