TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf76a…b506

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 18 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.89
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.99
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$55.2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 11 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$83.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.67
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.9%+$5.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+79.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$27.25
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$94
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$154
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$171.99
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$52.35
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$38.38
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$168
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$176
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.1
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$22.91
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$94.56
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$87.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$20.79
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.23
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$4.89
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.41
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55.89
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.84
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-77.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonsecabacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.35
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.66
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+431.7%+$1,509.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.