Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c186dd4a5167684c27462d0bb541bd22ca4861298c00ade1991c6240364762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,324,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,214,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,324,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,828 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d04…ed05backed Yes | 8c | 1,828,137$141,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,771.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 36c | 1,015,121$364,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364,721.55 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…e2fdbacked Yes | 16c | 698,976$111,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,096.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7855…5c68backed Yes | 3c | 473,972$13,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,747.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed No | 80c | 424,643$339,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,361.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 74c | 379,794$280,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,064.84 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 78c | 340,011$265,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,405.56 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 63c | 325,672$205,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,708.66 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 4c | 273,981$9,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 73c | 218,768$160,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,012.84 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes | 35c | 188,633$65,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,959.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 50c | 172,602$87,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,518.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked No | 46c | 145,728$67,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,626.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 70c | 144,721$101,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,787.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…c276backed Yes | 16c | 141,927$22,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,479.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 31c | 140,328$44,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,041.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…e464backed Yes | 26c | 140,005$36,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,720.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…89b2backed Yes | 39c | 130,961$50,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,585.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed No | 75c | 130,000$97,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,699.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 64c | 129,884$83,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,788.22 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 77c | 127,414$97,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,744.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 25c | 126,163$31,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,040.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 74c | 116,792$86,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,779.26 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 57c | 115,317$65,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,796.82 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…28cabacked Yes | 36c | 114,652$40,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,792.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bc…8021backed Yes | 28c | 112,456$31,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,722.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 107,652$85,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,075.9 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 77c | 106,969$82,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,766.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…a8dcbacked Yes | 6c | 105,593$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,964.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 70c | 104,612$73,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,402.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…5cbfbacked No | 66c | 96,618$63,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,668.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 53c | 95,852$50,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,370.59 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 72c | 95,645$68,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,141.71 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…9b8bbacked No | 54c | 92,832$50,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,609.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 32c | 92,520$29,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,835.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 40c | 88,652$35,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,547.53 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 63c | 81,615$51,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,556.33 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 15c | 81,594$11,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,836.4 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…a9c0backed Yes | 2c | 78,185$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 79c | 77,780$61,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,310.81 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 47c | 76,703$36,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,289.76 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 46c | 76,631$35,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,589.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…1913backed Yes | 46c | 76,353$35,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,011.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…1025backed Yes | 19c | 74,106$14,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,080.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…21c6backed Yes | 32c | 70,275$22,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,142.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked No | 67c | 68,380$45,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,487.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 7c | 67,800$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.42 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 70c | 65,252$45,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,638.75 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked No | 61c | 64,321$39,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,829.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 64c | 61,286$39,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,992.97 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…3199backed No | 72c | 61,226$44,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,097.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…b7cebacked Yes | 34c | 60,647$20,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,497.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 50c | 58,746$29,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,581.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed No | 55c | 58,155$32,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,088.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…59a8backed Yes | 35c | 57,285$19,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,937.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…752bbacked Yes | 39c | 55,432$21,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,723.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +571.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed No | 73c | 52,617$38,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,132.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 68c | 52,071$35,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,897.61 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…5530backed Yes | 19c | 51,810$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…33b7backed Yes | 19c | 51,244$9,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,963.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…2cc5backed Yes | 54c | 50,969$27,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,638.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…9334backed Yes | 40c | 50,426$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…034dbacked Yes | 30c | 50,165$14,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,983.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…162fbacked Yes | 42c | 49,764$20,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,888.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…3564backed Yes | 47c | 45,841$21,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,739.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 11c | 45,463$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…dc8fbacked Yes | 23c | 44,248$9,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Yes | 49c | 43,736$21,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,371.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 11c | 43,606$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 12c | 43,600$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked No | 70c | 42,498$29,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,649.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…c665backed No | 59c | 42,348$25,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,261.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…a736backed Yes | 26c | 41,867$10,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…94f2backed Yes | 24c | 40,700$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 73c | 40,652$29,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.5 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 72c | 40,360$28,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,414.37 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed Yes | 29c | 40,211$11,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 70c | 39,517$27,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800.6 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 73c | 39,203$28,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,640.96 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 20c | 39,005$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.94 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 56c | 38,286$21,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,724.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 27c | 38,172$10,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,264.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 73c | 38,043$27,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,113.79 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 57c | 37,269$21,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,064.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed No | 71c | 37,050$26,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,597.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…4623backed Yes | 24c | 37,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 67c | 36,504$24,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,929.87 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ad…2f0dbacked Yes | 25c | 36,490$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,233.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…830cbacked Yes | 33c | 35,440$11,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,528.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 35,000$9,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,657.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…7a11backed Yes | 57c | 33,710$19,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,128.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…bca8backed Yes | 45c | 32,683$14,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,844.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6913…c6b0backed Yes | 35c | 31,855$10,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,995.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 63c | 31,839$20,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,680.24 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…168bbacked No | 66c | 30,322$19,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,343.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 70c | 30,075$21,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,913.31 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 75c | 30,046$22,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.16 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…8c44backed Yes | 2c | 29,608$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 74c | 29,038$21,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,407.31 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 7c | 28,840$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.