NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd577aff4e11612836eecea8348dc9e3e8bed9bdcf50caf7a329a79e600835a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Bucks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,607,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,569,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,607,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9557…7136backed Bucks | 4c | 138,963$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 4c | 131,931$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.24 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Bucks | 4c | 96,962$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.49 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Bucks | 5c | 65,212$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.59 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 5c | 43,000$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.72 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…8bd4backed Bucks | 5c | 40,245$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.78 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bucks | 5c | 40,029$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.74 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 4c | 19,832$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks | 8c | 18,127$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.7 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 6c | 15,208$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bucks | 4c | 15,108$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.73 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 4c | 13,369$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.76 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Bucks | 5c | 12,655$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.34 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Bucks | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Bucks | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 9,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks | 6c | 9,436$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.16 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Bucks | 5c | 9,430$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093e…54c1backed Bucks | 5c | 9,382$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 4c | 9,051$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks | 5c | 9,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bucks | 5c | 9,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks | 5c | 9,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Bucks | 0c | 8,645$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bucks | 5c | 8,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bucks | 6c | 7,926$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.59 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 6c | 7,878$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Bucks | 8c | 7,854$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.17 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 4c | 7,586$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Bucks | 5c | 7,544$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 4c | 6,869$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…f0b4backed Bucks | 5c | 6,601$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 6c | 6,472$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…3b06backed Bucks | 5c | 6,190$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Bucks | 5c | 6,190$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Bucks | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 4c | 5,848$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.87 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 0c | 5,641$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 3c | 5,047$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Bucks | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 8c | 4,353$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Bucks | 5c | 4,255$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Bucks | 5c | 4,149$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Bucks | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaad…5947backed Bucks | 5c | 3,903$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Bucks | 2c | 3,294$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Bucks | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Bucks | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…6c59backed Bucks | 9c | 2,865$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35c…b1c6backed Bucks | 12c | 2,836$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks | 4c | 2,822$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Bucks | 2c | 2,756$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks | 7c | 2,594$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Bucks | 8c | 2,532$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 4c | 2,400$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 4c | 2,353$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…844abacked Bucks | 0c | 2,116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 4c | 2,022$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Bucks | 4c | 2,011$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Bucks | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Bucks | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Bucks | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Bucks | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…b417backed Bucks | 10c | 1,990$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks | 5c | 1,980$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Bucks | 2c | 1,954$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…7d64backed Bucks | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…4c76backed Bucks | 6c | 1,586$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Bucks | 6c | 1,510$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Bucks | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Bucks | 5c | 1,415$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Bucks | 6c | 1,337$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Bucks | 7c | 1,326$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bucks | 5c | 1,212$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Bucks | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 3c | 1,173$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…074bbacked Bucks | 2c | 1,168$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…ba6ebacked Bucks | 6c | 1,166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Bucks | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Bucks | 10c | 1,055$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bucks | 5c | 1,050$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Bucks | 5c | 1,039$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Bucks | 5c | 1,037$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked Bucks | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Bucks | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Bucks | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Bucks | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Bucks | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed Bucks | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Bucks | 5c | 970.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x572f…ba58backed Bucks | 3c | 948.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Bucks | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Bucks | 5c | 891.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks | 4c | 809.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 4c | 771.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks | 4c | 753.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…989ebacked Bucks | 6c | 716.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks | 8c | 687.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…4cfabacked Bucks | 3c | 672.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…514abacked Bucks | 5c | 652.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-22.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.