TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Bucks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,607,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,569,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,607,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9557…7136backed Bucks4c138,963$6,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,195.231020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks4c131,931$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.241,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Bucks4c96,962$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.4916919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Bucks5c65,212$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.598429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks5c43,000$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.721,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Bucks5c40,245$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.782420.8%5 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks5c40,029$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.7447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks4c19,832$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks8c18,127$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks6c15,208$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bucks4c15,108$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.7310447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks4c13,369$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.761,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Bucks5c12,655$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.347337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Bucks4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Bucks4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c9,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks6c9,436$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.1646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Bucks5c9,430$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.52020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x093e…54c1backed Bucks5c9,382$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.11752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks4c9,051$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.782,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks5c9,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bucks5c9,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks5c9,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks0c8,645$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.573179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bucks5c8,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks6c7,926$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks6c7,878$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.391,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Bucks8c7,854$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.1721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks4c7,586$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Bucks5c7,544$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.22937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks4c6,869$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Bucks5c6,601$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks6c6,472$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Bucks5c6,190$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.53225%8 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Bucks5c6,190$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.59330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Bucks5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks4c5,848$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.872,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks0c5,641$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.225213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks3c5,047$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.591,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Bucks5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucks8c4,353$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Bucks5c4,255$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.371838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Bucks5c4,149$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.466126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Bucks5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaad…5947backed Bucks5c3,903$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.015255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked Bucks2c3,294$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.325846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Bucks9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Bucks7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17e2…6c59backed Bucks9c2,865$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc35c…b1c6backed Bucks12c2,836$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.27850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks4c2,822$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Bucks2c2,756$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.234938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks7c2,594$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2220744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Bucks8c2,532$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.223030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks4c2,400$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.121,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks4c2,353$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8eb…844abacked Bucks0c2,116$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks4c2,022$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Bucks4c2,011$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6924147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed Bucks9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Bucks5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5d…31b9backed Bucks7c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bucks5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f1…b417backed Bucks10c1,990$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.021650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks5c1,980$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Bucks2c1,954$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.074841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Bucks6c1,700$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.022133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc8…4c76backed Bucks6c1,586$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.171471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Bucks6c1,510$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.593240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Bucks4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Bucks5c1,415$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4611926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Bucks6c1,337$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.217545.3%34 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Bucks7c1,326$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.493554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bucks5c1,212$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Bucks5c1,200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks3c1,173$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.192,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e94…074bbacked Bucks2c1,168$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.01616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe537…ba6ebacked Bucks6c1,166$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Bucks5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Bucks10c1,055$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9923348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Bucks5c1,050$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Bucks5c1,039$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Bucks5c1,037$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8720945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked Bucks9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Bucks4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed Bucks3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76a…b506backed Bucks5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cb…58afbacked Bucks5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52c1…1084backed Bucks5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…9837backed Bucks5c970.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.556625.8%17 W · 49 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x572f…ba58backed Bucks3c948.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Bucks5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.153432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Bucks5c891.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.569628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks4c809.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks4c771.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.031,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks4c753.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eac…989ebacked Bucks6c716.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9780%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks8c687.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5250…4cfabacked Bucks3c672.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479a…514abacked Bucks5c652.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.391752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.